Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT33 KNHC 091430
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 09 2002

...GUSTAV CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT GUSTAV HAS NOT ACQUIRED THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A TROPICAL
STORM. IT REMAINS A SUBTROPICAL STORM WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST OR ABOUT
245 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM MAINLY TO
THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTER IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S.
EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST
TODAY.

OUTER RAINBANDS OF GUSTAV WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES TODAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...32.0 N... 74.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN