Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 100251
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 09 2002

...GUSTAV CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTHWARD
TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY
SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST OR ABOUT 200
MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL MOVE VERY NEAR
THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH END OF PAMLICO SOUND. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF
1-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE
WARNING AREA. HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES
OVER EASTERN VIRGINIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.5 N... 75.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE