Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 110240
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002

...GUSTAV MOVING AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES...STILL PRODUCING
STRONG WINDS IN THE OUTER BANKS...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF OCRACOKE INLET...THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS AND THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
VIRGINIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM OCRACOKE INLET
NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST OR ABOUT
120 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE U. S.
COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV HAS A CHANCE TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH END OF PAMLICO SOUND. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE
WARNING AREA. THIS FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH SOON. HIGH
SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S. EAST
COAST FROM NEW YORK SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTHERN FLORIDA COAST EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. THESE RAINS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH
SOON.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...36.2 N... 73.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA