Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 12



000
WTNT33 KNHC 110849
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2002

...GUSTAV MOVING TOWARD CANADIAN MARITIMES...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR
NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA. HEAVY SURF AND DANGEROUS RIPTIDE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT 290
MILES...465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET ISLAND MASSACHUSETTS.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH ...39 KM/HR...AND
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

ON THIS TRACK...GUSTAV WILL MOVE NEAR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY
AS IT TRANSFORMS INTO A HUGE EXTRATROPICAL STORM. THE CANADIAN
GOVERNMENT IS ISSUING A WIND WARNING AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR
EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA...PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW
BRUNSWICK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...GUSTAV COULD BRIEFLY REACH HURRICANE FORCE LATER
THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...37.4 N...72.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE