Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 16



000
WTNT34 KNHC 120848
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2002

...DEPRESSION ORGANIZING...LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT
210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. A TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WELL TO THE EAST OF THE DEPRESSION CENTER. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.9 N... 86.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN