Hurricane Isidore

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 181431
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

...JOSEPHINE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4
WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES...1300 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...36.0 N... 51.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT35 KNHC 181447
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

...ISIDORE SOAKING JAMAICA...POISED TO STRENGTHEN...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA AND
CIENFUEGOS WESTWARD...AND INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES ...50 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF JAMAICA. THIS
POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 195 MILES ...320 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND
CAYMAN.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WILL BE MOVING AWAY
FROM JAMAICA THIS AFTERNOON...CONDITIONS THERE WILL BE SLOW TO
IMPROVE SINCE MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS AND WINDS ARE LOCATED TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM ...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...17.9 N... 78.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN