Hurricane Isidore
Forecast Advisory 19
000
WTNT35 KNHC 202031
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
...ISIDORE MAKES LANDFALL OVER WESTERN CUBA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA PROVINCES
OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL
RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
PROGRESSO TO TULUM ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST OR INLAND VERY NEAR
LA FE CUBA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST OF
THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ISIDORE WILL BE EMERGING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS
EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND ISIDORE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE GULF OF
MEXICO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 INCHES...CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...SHOULD BE
OCCURRING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...21.9 N... 84.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 202032
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA
IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS DEVELOPED ENOUGH ORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM
IS NOT AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND AREAS.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.7 WEST OR
ABOUT 820 MILES...1320 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH
... 7 KM/HR...AND A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...28.4 N... 51.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
