Hurricane Isidore

Forecast Advisory 28

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 230224
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002

...KYLE WEAKENS A BIT...NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 49.3 WEST ABOUT 890
MILES...1445 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE HAS BEEN DRIFTING EAST DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT APPEARS TO
HAVE COME TO A HALT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
WEST-SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST MOTION IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE ARE NEAR 40 MPH...
65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...33.1 N... 49.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...MONDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN





000
WTNT35 KNHC 230247
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002

...ISIDORE INLAND OVER NORTHWEST YUCATAN...AND WEAKENING...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 15 MILES...30 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO.

ISIDORE HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR 5 MPH
... 7 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS
EXPECTED...BRINGING THE CENTER BACK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ON
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE THE
CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND...BUT ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO
RE-STRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE AFFECTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND OTHER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE
LIKELY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES ARE LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS OVER NORTHWEST YUCATAN.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.8 N... 89.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...MONDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT33 KNHC 230255
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 22 2002

...DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES INCLUDING BARBADOS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH ...37
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION MIGHT
STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BEFORE REACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THESE ISLANDS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

HEAVY SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES EARLY MONDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.2 N... 56.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...MONDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/KNABB