Tropical Storm Josephine

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT31 KNHC 180822
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

...TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.2 WEST OR ABOUT
735 MILES...1185 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS
MORNING...WITH A GRADUAL ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT BY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES
... 55 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON A NEARBY SHIP REPORT
IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...35.2 N... 52.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT35 KNHC 180834
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

...ISIDORE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD NEAR JAMAICA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA
LATER TODAY.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST OR ABOUT
75 MILES...120 KM...SOUTH OF NEGRIL ON THE WESTERN END OF JAMAICA.
THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON
JAMAICA.

ISIDORE IS MOVING SOMEWHAT ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR
6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR
WESTERN JAMAICA TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF JAMAICA LATER TODAY.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 78.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN