Tropical Storm Josephine

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT31 KNHC 190215
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

...JOSEPHINE STILL A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.9 WEST OR ABOUT
590 MILES...955 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...
JOSEPHINE IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM WELL TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND BY LATE THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
JOSEPHINE SHOULD BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON THURSDAY
AS IT INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...39.0 N... 47.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM EDT...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT35 KNHC 190235
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002

...ISIDORE CONTINUES ITS SLOW TRACK TOWARD WESTERN CUBA...HAS NOT
CHANGED IN INTENSITY...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA FOR
THE PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE
AVILA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...200 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...ISIDORE WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA ON THURSDAY. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE IS MOVING AWAY
FROM JAMAICA...CONDITIONS THERE WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE SINCE MOST
OF THE HEAVY RAINS AND WINDS ARE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 12
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE NOW MOVING INTO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
OUTER RAINBANDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
LATE THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...19.7 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA