Tropical Storm Josephine

Forecast Advisory 8



000
WTNT35 KNHC 191433
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002

...ISIDORE NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA
FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF
YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND
CIEGO DE AVILA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT
160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

ISIDORE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY...BUT GENERALLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...ISIDORE
WILL BE VERY NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 INCHES...CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE
DAYS. RAINS SHOULD DIMINISH OVER JAMAICA LATER TODAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...20.0 N... 81.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 191435
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002

...JOSEPHINE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.5 WEST OR ABOUT
590 MILES...950 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH
...50 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT JOSEPHINE HAS MERGED WITH A COLD
FRONT AND HAS LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. HOWEVER...SHIP
REPORTS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...
95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING OF THE EXTRATROPICAL
LOW IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...42.5 N... 42.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION
CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER BEVEN