Hurricane Kyle
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT32 KNHC 211432
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
...KYLE SLOWLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.6 WEST OR ABOUT
770 MILES...1240 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH... 75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS....AND KYLE COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.3 N... 51.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT35 KNHC 211442
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT SEP 21 2002
...ISIDORE STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL AND EXPECTED TO GET STRONGER...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT
60 MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO CATOCHE ON THE NORTHEAST
TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 75 MILES...120
KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN ANTONIO ON THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE EYE OF ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS
ON THE SOUTHSIDE OF THE EYE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO AFFECT NORTHERN
YUCATAN BY THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS
BEFORE ISIDORE BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE IS MOVING AWAY FROM CUBA...ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 T0 15 INCHES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. HEAVY RAINFALL
IS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH TODAY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING AS HIGH AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY ALONG THE NORTH COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...21.9 N... 86.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
