Hurricane Kyle
Forecast Advisory 7
000
WTNT32 KNHC 220838
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...KYLE STATIONARY...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 51.5 WEST OR ABOUT
770 MILES...1260 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
THE STORM IS STATIONARY AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT ERRATICALLY FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...32.1 N... 51.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
000
WTNT33 KNHC 220843
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING WEST...CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 48.6 WEST OR ABOUT
750 MILES...1220 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH ...30
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...10.8 N... 48.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER JARVINEN/BROWN
000
WTNT35 KNHC 220844
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...ISIDORE MOVES NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH 125 MPH WINDS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...90 KM...NORTHWEST OF CABO CATOCHE ON THE NORTHWEST TIP OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
ISIDORE IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL COME VERY
CLOSE TO THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND MIGHT MOVE
ONSHORE...BRINGING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE ONSHORE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 936 MB...27.64 INCHES.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES. STORM SURGE FLOODING COULD INCREASE TO
8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IF THE CENTER MOVES ONSHORE.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...22.0 N... 87.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 936 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
