Hurricane Kyle
Forecast Advisory 15
000
WTNT32 KNHC 240828
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
...KYLE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...STRENGTHENS...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST OR ABOUT 830
MILES...1335 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...30.8 N... 50.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
000
WTNT35 KNHC 240834
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
...ISIDORE MOVING BACK OVER WATER...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER THIS MORNING.
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MERIDA...MEXICO AND DATA FROM A
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT CENTER OF ISIDORE IS ALREADY
ON THE COAST.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...NORTH OF MERIDA MEXICO.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DATA FROM A RECONNAISANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ISIDORE
COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS ONCE AGAIN.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER...BUT MAINLY OVER WATER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...OTHER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE
LIKELY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ. TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS
COMBINED WITH LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME
COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...21.3 N... 89.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT33 KNHC 240836
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
...LILI CONTINUING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...EXPECTED
TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST OR ABOUT
510 MILES...820 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...A TURN TO
WARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...200 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.0 N... 64.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
000
WTNT33 KNHC 240854
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 12...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
CORRECTED FOR MOTION
...LILI CONTINUING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...EXPECTED
TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST OR ABOUT
510 MILES...820 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...A TURN TO
WARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...200 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.0 N... 64.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
000
WTNT33 KNHC 240855 CCA
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 12...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
CORRECTED FOR MOTION
...LILI CONTINUING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...EXPECTED
TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST OR ABOUT
510 MILES...820 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...A TURN TO
WARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...200 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.0 N... 64.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
