Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 18



000
WTNT35 KNHC 250232
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002

...ISIDORE CONTINUES NORTHWARD...HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH THE CIRCULATION COVERING MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
345 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE BEGUN TO SPREAD ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISIDORE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLOODS. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH
AN ADDITIONAL 5 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ. THESE TIDES SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS COMBINED WITH LARGE
SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE COULD CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND
BEACH EROSION. THESE STORM TIDES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...23.5 N... 89.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT32 KNHC 250232
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

...KYLE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 52.6 WEST OR ABOUT 740
MILES...1190 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN THE FORWARD SPEED ARE
POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.9 N... 52.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT33 KNHC 250236
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 24 2002

...LILI WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST OR
ABOUT 370 MILES...595 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATED THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND FOUND A VERY BROAD CIRCULATION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...205 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 67.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/MOLLEDA