Hurricane Kyle
Forecast Advisory 20
000
WTNT33 KNHC 251438
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 25 2002
...LILI MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA...REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
TROPICAL STORM LILI AND THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE
EXACT LOCATION OF THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER. IF THE CENTER DOES NOT
BECOME BETTER DEFINED...THEN LILI COULD BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL
WAVE LATER TODAY AND WATCHES MAY BE DISCONTINUED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.1 N... 69.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT35 KNHC 251439
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
...ISIDORE CONTINUING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
EASTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST TO ST. MARKS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO ST.
MARKS FLORIDA.
AT 10 AM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST OR ABOUT
270 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING
THE CENTER NEAR OR OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH THE CIRCULATION COVERING MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
315 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
NOAA BUOY 42001 RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 991.8 MB...29.29
INCHES.
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE SPREADING ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ISIDORE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES DURING
THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS. HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO SPREAD NORTHWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES DURING THE
SAME TIME PERIOD. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS.
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 5
INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ALONG WITH BATTERING
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...26.0 N... 90.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 251444
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002
...KYLE STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...COULD BECOME
A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.8 WEST OR ABOUT
630 MILES...1010 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AND KYLE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...29.2 N... 54.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
