Hurricane Kyle
Forecast Advisory 21
000
WTNT32 KNHC 252040
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2002
...KYLE BECOMES THE THIRD HURRICANE OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.7 WEST OR ABOUT 590
MILES...950 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KYLE IS ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING INTERESTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...28.9 N... 55.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT35 KNHC 252040
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
...SHIP REPORTS INDICATE ISIDORE SLIGHTLY STRONGER...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST OR ABOUT
215 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A
GENERAL NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF ISIDORE NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. A SHIP LOCATED
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 64
MPH WITH A GUST TO 82 MPH.
ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH THE CIRCULATION COVERING MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
315 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. NOAA BUOY
42041 RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 990.1 MB...29.24 INCHES.
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE SPREADING ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ISIDORE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES DURING
THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS. HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO SPREAD NORTHWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD DECREASE TONIGHT.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ALONG WITH BATTERING
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.8 N... 90.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT33 KNHC 252046
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 25 2002
...LILI MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ALL OF JAMAICA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF
HAITI...AND ALSO FOR JAMAICA.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN HAITI MAY BE UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TONIGHT.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST
OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BUT
THE GENERAL MOTION SHOULD BE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.4 N... 69.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
