Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 22



000
WTNT35 KNHC 260230
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 25 2002

...ISIDORE NEARING THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST...BRINGING
TORRENTIAL RAINS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 125 MILES...SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA...AND ABOUT 70
MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GENERALLY
NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
COAST BEFORE DAWN THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH A CIRCULATION THAT COVERS MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345
MILES FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL
CONTINUE SPREADING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. HEAVY RAINS
WILL ALSO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ALONG WITH BATTERING
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...28.1 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT32 KNHC 260243
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2002

...KYLE CONTINUES MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST OR ABOUT 590 MILES...950
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...28.6 N... 57.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT33 KNHC 260254
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 25 2002

...LILI REMAINS DISORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF
HAITI...AND ALSO FOR JAMAICA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN HAITI MAY BE UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING THURSDAY MORNING.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 14.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...SOUTH OF
SANTO DOMINGO.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...BUT A
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES
...250 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FOUND THE STRONGEST WINDS IN
THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE...WITH VERY LIGHT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST.
ALSO...THE AIR FORCE METEOROLOGIST ON THE PLANE INDICATED THAT THE
WORST WEATHER EXTENDED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 70.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...THURSDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN