Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 23



000
WTNT33 KNHC 260829
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 26 2002

...LILI REMAINS DISORGANIZED...MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF
HAITI...AND ALSO FOR JAMAICA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN HAITI MAY BE UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING THURSDAY MORNING.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
SANTO DOMINGO.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...BUT A
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES
...250 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

AN AIRFORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE LILI LATER THIS
MORNING.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.5 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 260832
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 26 2002

...KYLE INTENSIFIES...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST OR ABOUT 490 MILES...790
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19
KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL SLOWING IN THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...28.1 N... 58.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 260844
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2002

...CENTER OF ISIDORE MOVED INLAND...TORRENTIAL RAINS AND STRONG
WINDS WILL CONTINUE...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 20 MILES...SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF
ISIDORE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH A CIRCULATION THAT COVERS MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345
MILES FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

STORM RAINFALL TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL
CONTINUE SPREADING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ALONG WITH BATTERING
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...29.7 N... 90.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA