Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 31

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 280846
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

...LILI MEANDERING JUST EAST OF JAMAICA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
CAMAGUEY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF LILI
HAS BEEN MEANDERING JUST EAST OF JAMAICA.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...125 KM...EAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA OR 150 MILES...245
KM...SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GUANTANAMO BAY CUBA.

LILI HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT A
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF LILI SHOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA LATER TONIGHT
OR EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE A
COUPLE OF HOURS AGO WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE ALREADY SPREADING ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI AND SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. THE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.8 N... 75.7 W. MOVEMENT
MEANDERING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 999 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA