Hurricane Kyle
Forecast Advisory 38
000
WTNT32 KNHC 300236
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 29 2002
...DISORGANIZED KYLE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KYLE.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST OR ABOUT
240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KYLE MAY
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...28.9 N... 64.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST...MONDAY.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT33 KNHC 300247
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002
...LYLY MOVING SLOWLY NEAR JAMAICA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND
HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...NORTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM JAMAICA AND MOVE NEAR THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN CUBA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LILY COULD BECOME A HURICANE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
A RECENT U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 78.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...MONDAY.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
