Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 42

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 010228
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 30 2002

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 67.1 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES...600 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...27.4 N... 67.1 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HOLWEG




000
WTNT33 KNHC 010241
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002

...LILI CONTINUING TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED... TAKING AIM ON THE
ISLE OF YOUTH AND WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE REST OF CUBA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
HOWEVER...THESE WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY
MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM COZUMEL TO PROGRESO.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF LILI SHOULD PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE ISLE OF YOUTH TUESDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
LILI COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER
THE ISLE OF YOUTH OR WESTERN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA ON TUESDAY.

HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
EASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE
PATH OF LILI.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...20.7 N... 81.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART