Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 53

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 032030
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU OCT 03 2002

...LILI CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...

AT 2 PM CDT...1900 UTC...THE COASTAL WARNINGS WERE DISCONTINUED.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST...VERY NEAR
ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

STORM SURGE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH LILI. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLOODING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...31.3 N... 92.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT32 KNHC 032040
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU OCT 03 2002

...KYLE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR ABOUT 285
MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...29.4 N... 68.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN