Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 54

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 040223
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU OCT 03 2002

...LILI WEAKENING RAPIDLY...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF MONROE LOUISIANA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND LILI WILL LIKELY BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH LILI. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLOODING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...32.4 N... 92.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 4 AM CDT...FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT32 KNHC 040244
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 54
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU OCT 03 2002

...KYLE CONTINUING TO DRIFT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...29.5 N... 68.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST...FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART