Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT32 KNHC 220251
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002

...KYLE SLOWING DOWN...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 51.3 WEST OR ABOUT
780 MILES...1270 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

THE STORM IS SLOWING DOWN AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
NEAR 2 MPH ... 4 KM/HR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ERRATICALLY
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.0 N... 51.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...SUNDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 220252
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 21 2002

...ISIDORE DRIFTING WESTWARD WITH 125 MPH WINDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES..75
KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CABO CATOCHE ON THE NORTHEAST TIP OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE EYE OF ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS ON
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE EYE WILL LIKELY AFFECT NORTHERN YUCATAN
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT JUST A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH
WOULD BRING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE AND THE MOST INTENSE WINDS
ONSHORE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB...27.94 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE IS MOVING AWAY FROM CUBA...
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 T0 15 INCHES...ARE STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO AFFECT THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF CUBA...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...22.2 N... 86.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 946 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT33 KNHC 220257
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN NEARING STORM STATUS...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 46.7 WEST OR
ABOUT 890 MILES...1430 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...10.3 N... 46.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...SUNDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN