Hurricane Lili
Forecast Advisory 8
000
WTNT35 KNHC 231432
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON SEP 23 2002
...ISIDORE MEANDERING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES...100 KM...SOUTH OF MERIDA MEXICO.
ISIDORE IS CURRENTLY DRIFTING EASTWARD. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS MOTION
WILL KEEP THE CENTER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA
TODAY...POSSIBLY EMERGING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE CENTER
REMAINS OVER LAND. HOWEVER...ISIDORE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN
WHEN THE CENTER REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE AFFECTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...OTHER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA
AND BELIZE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE
LIKELY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES CONTINUES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN PENINSULA. ONSHORE WINDS WILL
PRODUCE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ.
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS COMBINED WITH LARGE SWELLS
GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH
EROSION.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE ARE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE COASTS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...20.1 N... 89.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING EASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT33 KNHC 231438
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 23 2002
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT
APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES INCLUDING BARBADOS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH
AREA LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THIRTEEN IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF BARBADOS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WINDS HAVE GUSTED TO 55 MPH AT BARBADOS DURING THE PAST
HOUR...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AT ANY TIME. A
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER THIS
MORNING.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL AFFECT
MUCH OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...12.8 N... 59.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT32 KNHC 231443
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002
....KYLE MEANDERING OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...NO THREAT TO LAND...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST OR ABOUT
870 MILES...1395 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE DUE TO WEAK
STEERING CURRENTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...32.1 N... 49.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
