Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 9



000
WTNT33 KNHC 231609
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1130 AM AST MON SEP 23 2002

CORRECTED INITIAL POSITION AND FORWARD SPEED AND TIME

...TROPICAL STORM LILI DEVELOPS EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

AT 1130 AM AST...1530Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA SOUTHWARD TO THE
GRENADINES...INCLUDING BARBADOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO MARTINIQUE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING OR A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR
GRENADA LATER TODAY.

AT 1230 PM AST...1530Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 105 MILES
...170 KM..EAST OF THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND
BARBADOS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 1130 AM AST POSITION...12.4 N... 59.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART