Hurricane Lili
Forecast Advisory 14
000
WTNT33 KNHC 242033
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
...LILI SLOWING DOWN OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR HAITI LATER TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 415 MILES...670 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AND LILI COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...205 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...13.4 N... 66.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT35 KNHC 242036
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
...ISIDORE MOVING NORTHWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO DESTIN FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS WEST OF CAMPECHE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...NORTH OF MERIDA MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
465 MILES...750 KM...SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST.
ISIDORE IS WOBBLING ABOUT A GENERAL NORTHWARD MOTION NEAR
7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH THE CIRCULATION COVERING MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
345 MILES...555 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOYS
42001 AND 42002 IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
BOTH REPORTED 40 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE BEGUN TO SPREAD ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISIDORE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLOODS. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH
AN ADDITIONAL 5 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ. THESE TIDES SHOULD DIMINISH LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT. TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
ALONG MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS COMBINED
WITH LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE COULD CAUSE SOME COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION. THESE STORM TIDES WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...22.4 N... 89.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 242036
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
...KYLE GETTING STRONGER OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...COULD BECOME
A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST OR
ABOUT 805 MILES...1290 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN THE FORWARD SPEED ARE
POSSIBLE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
KYLE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.1 N... 51.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
