Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 16



000
WTNT32 KNHC 250828
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2002

...KYLE MOVING WEST A LITTLE FASTER...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 54.3 WEST OR ABOUT 645
MILES...1040 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N... 54.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 250835
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED SEP 25 2002

...ISIDORE HEADING NORTHWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST OR ABOUT 355
MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH THE CIRCULATION COVERING MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
345 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE SPREADING ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ISIDORE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODS. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 5
INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TODAY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...24.8 N... 89.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT33 KNHC 250846
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 25 2002

...LILI APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS
THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST OR ABOUT 310
MILES...500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...
19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE AREA LATER
THIS MORNING TO DETERMINE IF LILI HAS WEAKENED. IF THIS TREND
CONTINUES OCCURS LILI MAY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR
A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY AND WATCHES MAY BE DISCONTINUED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...205 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.1 N... 68.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB