Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 28



000
WTNT33 KNHC 281442
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

...LILI STILL MEANDERING AS IT ORGANIZES...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
CAMAGUEY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
CENTER OF LILI IS NOT WELL-DEFINED AND MAY BE REFORMING TO THE
NORTHEAST OF ITS FORMER POSITION.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND
ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO BY CUBA.

LILI HAS CONTINUED TO MEANDER AS IT TRYS TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED.
A SLOW NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF LILI WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTH
COAST OF EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI AND SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.1 N... 75.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT32 KNHC 281446
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 28 2002

...KYLE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KYLE HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND HAS
WEAKENED BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 435 MILES...700 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
SLOW...GENERALLY WESTWARD...MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...26.3 N... 63.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH