Hurricane Lili
Forecast Advisory 33
000
WTNT32 KNHC 292021
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 29 2002
...KYLE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST OR ABOUT 265
MILES...430 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH
... 4 KM/HR. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...28.5 N... 64.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT33 KNHC 292028
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002
...LILI GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED WHILE MEANDERING NEAR THE
NORTHWESTERN COAST OF JAMAICA...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...
SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BUT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. THERE MAY BE SOME ERRATIC
MOTION UNTIL LILI MOVES AWAY FROM JAMAICA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TONIGHT. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. SEVERE FLOODING AND
MUD SLIDES CONTINUE TO BE REPORTED ACROSS JAMAICA.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...18.7 N... 77.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART