Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 34



000
WTNT33 KNHC 300306
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 34...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002

...CORRECTED FOR WARNINGS FOR CUBA...

...LILI MOVIN SLOWLY NEAR JAMAICA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF CUBA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...NORTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM JAMAICA AND MOVE NEAR THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN CUBA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LILY COULD BECOME A HURICANE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

A RECENT U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 78.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...MONDAY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE