Hurricane Lili
Forecast Advisory 37
000
WTNT32 KNHC 302027
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 30 2002
...KYLE REFORMS SOUTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS LOCATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT KYLE HAS
REFORMED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOCATION GIVEN IN THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE WAS
RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 350 MILES...560 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...27.5 N... 67.0 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT33 KNHC 302039
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002
...CONDITIONS IMPROVING IN THE CAYMANS...WESTERN CUBA NEXT TARGET...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM COZUMEL TO PROGRESSO.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REST OF CUBA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE EXPECTED
TRACK OF LILI WOULD BRING THE CENTER VERY NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH
TUESDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
EASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE
PATH OF LILI.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...20.1 N... 80.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
