Hurricane Danny

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 161436
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED JUL 16 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS EAST OF BERMUDA...FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY
FROM THE UNITED STATES...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES..965 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. ON THIS TRACK... THE
DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER OPEN WATERS AWAY FROM THE UNITED
STATES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1015 MB...29.97 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...31.5 N... 54.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1015 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA