Hurricane Danny

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT35 KNHC 190235
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI JUL 18 2003

...DANNY CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST OR ABOUT 475
MILES...760 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE CENTER OF DANNY FAR FROM LAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
DANNY WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...40.5 N... 50.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN