Tropical Storm Erika
Forecast Advisory 7
000
WTNT33 KNHC 160835
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003
...ERIKA AT THE COAST NEAR BROWNSVILLE...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY
TEXAS AND ALSO FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT O'CONNOR.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES...70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE STORM INLAND DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ERIKA IS VERY CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH AND ALL
PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE CONTINUED UNTIL THE STORM MOVES INLAND AND
BEGINS TO WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA. THIS COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS NEAR ELEVATED TERRAIN.
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER TEXAS COAST THIS MORNING.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...25.5 N... 97.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 6 AM CDT AND 8 AM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
