Tropical Storm Erika

Forecast Advisory 8



000
WTNT33 KNHC 161432
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003

...ERIKA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S.
BORDER HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THIS WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...85 KM...SOUTHWST OF MATAMOROS MEXICO.

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE
HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA. THIS COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS NEAR ELEVATED TERRAIN.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER TEXAS COAST TODAY.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.3 N... 98.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA