Tropical Storm Erika

Forecast Advisory 9

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 162033
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003

...ERIKA HAS BECOME A RAIN PRODUCER...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...110 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONTERREY MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH
...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ERIKA IS FOREXCAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ERIKA. THIS COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS NEAR ELEVATED TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...24.6 N... 99.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA