Tropical Storm Erika

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 170232
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2003

...ERIKA DISSIPATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MONTERREY MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE...RADAR...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE
CIRCULATION OF ERIKA IS BECOMING DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVES OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH ERIKA IS DISSIPATING...THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. PLEASE
CONSULT FORECASTS FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...24.8 N...100.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER BEVEN