Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT35 KNHC 281429
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU AUG 28 2003

...DEPRESSION VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 37.0 WEST OR ABOUT 820 MILES...1320 KM...WEST OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGHTENING...AND THE
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...15.1 N... 37.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH