Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 310229
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2003

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM HIGH
ISLAND TO CORPUS CHRISTI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE VERY POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5
WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE CENTER ACROSS THE TEXAS
COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE STRONG WINDS AND RAIN ARE
LOCATED NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER AND THE RAIN HAS ALREADY BEGUN
TO AFFECT EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN LOUISIANA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...25.5 N... 94.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE





000
WTNT35 KNHC 310239
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2003

...FABIAN CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.8 WEST OR ABOUT 710
MILES...1150 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...17.7 N... 50.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER HOLWEG/JARVINEN