Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 15



000
WTNT35 KNHC 310831
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2003

...FABIAN MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST OR ABOUT 640
MILES...1035 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...18.0 N... 51.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 310850
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2003

...GRACE REMAINS ILL DEFINED...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM HIGH
ISLAND TO CORPUS CHRISTI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION
WOULD BRING THE CENTER ACROSS THE TEXAS COAST LATER TODAY. HOWEVER
THE STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS EXTEND WELL NORTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER...AND HEAVY RAINS HAVE ALREADY BEEN SPREADING OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES NORTHEAST
OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND LESSER AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED OVER WESTERN LOUISIANA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE TEXAS COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.0 N... 96.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT31 KNHC 310850
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2003

...GRACE REMAINS ILL DEFINED...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM HIGH
ISLAND TO CORPUS CHRISTI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION
WOULD BRING THE CENTER ACROSS THE TEXAS COAST LATER TODAY. HOWEVER
THE STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS EXTEND WELL NORTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER...AND HEAVY RAINS HAVE ALREADY BEEN SPREADING OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES NORTHEAST
OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND LESSER AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED OVER WESTERN LOUISIANA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE TEXAS COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.0 N... 96.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH