Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 20



000
WTNT35 KNHC 011433
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 01 2003

...FABIAN MOVING WESTWARD...MAINTAINING STRENGTH...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST OR ABOUT 335
MILES...540 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TO THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE COMMON WITH MAJOR HURRICANES
AND COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING FABIAN THIS
AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 949 MB...28.02 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS WILL BE AFFECTING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO...OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...18.9 N... 56.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN