Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 21

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 012038
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 01 2003

...FABIAN STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST OR ABOUT 275
MILES...445 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE COMMON WITH MAJOR HURRICANES
AND COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDICTIONS WILL BE AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO...OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.1 N... 57.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 942 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI