Hurricane Fabian
Forecast Advisory 29
000
WTNT32 KNHC 032039
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2003
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORMS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT
210 MILES...335 KM...SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN TO
MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND EAST-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1013
MB...29.91 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...27.5 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT35 KNHC 032058
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 03 2003
...FABIAN CONTINUES AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ALL INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FABIAN.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES...
1065 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FABIAN COULD STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
944 MB...27.88 INCHES.
LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO. SWELLS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...22.9 N... 62.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
