Hurricane Fabian
Forecast Advisory 30
000
WTNT35 KNHC 040219
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 03 2003
...FABIAN STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WELL SOUTH OF BERMUDA...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ALL INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FABIAN.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST OR ABOUT
615 MILES...995 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES.
LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO. LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SPREAD ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...23.5 N... 63.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 939 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT32 KNHC 040222
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2003
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE REMAINS STATIONARY WELL SOUTH OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE
87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...335 KM...SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A GRADUAL SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...MAINLY IN
ISOLATED SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...SOME SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.5 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT
NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
