Hurricane Fabian
Forecast Advisory 35
000
WTNT35 KNHC 050830
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 05 2003
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS A LARGE AND SEVERE HURRICANE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.2 WEST OR ABOUT 195
MILES...315 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE NEAR OR OVER
BERMUDA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM. FABIAN IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA EARLY TODAY...WELL
IN ADVANCE OF THE EYE. THE WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED ON BERMUDA.
LARGE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...29.5 N... 65.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 050841
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRI ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2003
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES
WEST OF ST. PETERSBURG FLORIDA.
HENRI IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 7 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS
EXPECTED TO BRING THE CENTER ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA ON
SATURDAY.
BASED ON REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
...THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH.
THIS MAKES HENRI A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
RAIN IS CURRENTLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA GULF COAST. BUT
THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND AND UP TO 5 TO 8 INCHES MAY
ACCUMULATE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTH FLORIDA. DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS AND HIGH RIVER
STAGES...THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOS LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL OR NORTH FLORIDA.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...27.7 N... 84.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
