Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 48



000
WTNT35 KNHC 081428
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 08 2003

...FABIAN BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE COLD NORTH ATLANTIC...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 49.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST OR ABOUT 680
MILES...1095 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 39 MPH...63 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 345 MILES...555 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST
COAST. SEE STATEMENTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES FOR
DETAILS ON COASTAL CONDITIONS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...49.8 N... 39.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 39 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FABIAN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH



000
WTNT32 KNHC 081429
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 08 2003

...POORLY-ORGANIZED HENRI CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HENRI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE
75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HENRI
IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MERGES WITH A
FRONT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...32.7 N... 75.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT33 KNHC 081430
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 08 2003

...ISABEL STRENGTHENS INTO THE SECOND MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE YEAR...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISABEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.6 WEST OR ABOUT
1265 MILES...2040 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAKING ISABEL A CATEGORY 3...MAJOR HURRICANE...ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ISABEL COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 42.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT34 KNHC 081436
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 08 2003

...FOURTEENTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 220 MILES...375 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DUE TO THE SLOW FORWARD SPEED...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS
POSSIBLE...AND INTERESTS IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS....AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY OR ON TUESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...11.8 N... 22.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART