Tropical Storm Grace
Forecast Advisory 2
000
WTNT35 KNHC 302018
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2003
...FABIAN BECOMES THE FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...
HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT AT 5 PM
AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST OR ABOUT 775 MILES...1250 KM...
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GENERAL
WEST TO NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES FABIAN A DANGEROUS CATEGORY
THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.4 N... 49.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT31 KNHC 302022
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2003
...TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORMS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM HIGH
ISLAND TO CORPUS CHRISTI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST OR ABOUT
280 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.
GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GRACE IS EXPECTED MAKE LANDFALL ALONG
THE TEXAS COAST IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
THE TROPICAL STORM AND WILL PROVIDE MORE INFORMATION ON THE
STRENGTH OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE
DEPRESSION. RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING OVER THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COASTS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GRACE MAKES
LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...25.6 N... 93.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT31 KNHC 302052
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2003
CORRECTED TEXT CONCERNING RAINBANDS...CHANGED DEPRESSION TO GRACE
...TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORMS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM HIGH
ISLAND TO CORPUS CHRISTI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST OR ABOUT
280 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.
GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GRACE IS EXPECTED MAKE LANDFALL ALONG
THE TEXAS COAST IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
THE TROPICAL STORM AND WILL PROVIDE MORE INFORMATION ON THE
STRENGTH OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE
GRACE. RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING OVER THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COASTS.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER OF GRACE MAKES
LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...25.6 N... 93.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
