Tropical Storm Henri

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT32 KNHC 040831
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2003

...DEPRESSION A LITTLE STRONGER...DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWELVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...AND A
SLOW EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 87.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT35 KNHC 040831
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 04 2003

...POWERFUL HURRICANE FABIAN MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST OR ABOUT 570
MILES...920 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO. LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SPREAD ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...24.2 N... 63.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH